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03.03.2024


USD to NOK Forecast


USD to NOK Forecast


If you opt for trading major currencies, especially European ones, the Norwegian Krone should be in your portfolio. USD/NOK is considered to be a great option for both intraday and long-term trading, even though it is not prone to significant fluctuations. Wonder what the USD/NOK rate will be in the coming days, weeks, or even years? This article provides an extensive review of both short-term and long-term USD to NOK forecast/prediction.

Table of Contents

USD to NOK Currency Rate Forecast Summary

USD/NOK Price History

USD to NOK Forecast for 2025

USD to NOK Forecast for 2026

USD to NOK Forecast for 2027

USD to NOK Forecast for 2028

USD to NOK Forecast for 2029

USD to NOK Forecast for 2030

What Affects the NOK Price?

USD/NOK Technical Analysis

How to Predict the Price of NOK

Conclusion: Is NOK a Good Investment?

FAQ

USD to NOK CURRENCY RATE FORECAST SUMMARY

Recent trends in forex markets show that the NOK exchange rate has been influenced by fluctuating oil prices, global interest rate changes, and shifts in investor sentiment.

Analysts expect NOK price movements to reflect Norway's strong economic ties to energy markets, alongside the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions in the US.

As of May 7, 2025, the USD to NOK exchange rate stands at approximately 10.27. USD to NOK forecasts suggest that the currency pair will be traded at approximately the same level throughout 2025 with a potential slight increase to around 10.925 by the end of the year.

Long-term market analysis points to an overall bullish trend. Projections anticipate a rise, reaching 13.718 in the first half of 2030. Investors should monitor economic indicators influencing the USD to NOK exchange rate.

Key Forecasts:

Period USD to NOK Forecast
End of 202510.925
5-year outlook13.718

USD/NOK Price History

In 2024, the USD to NOK exchange rate experienced notable volatility. The year began at 10.5042 NOK per USD in January, steadily rising to a peak of 11.3657 in December.

Date Price
Jan 01, 202410.5042
Feb 01, 202410.6024
Mar 01, 202410.8158
Apr 01, 202411.1033
May 01, 202410.4669
Jun 01, 202410.6642
Jul 01, 202410.8894
Aug 01, 202410.5944
Sep 01, 202410.5442
Oct 01, 202410.9922
Nov 01, 202411.0181
Dec 01, 202411.3657

USD to NOK Forecast for 2025

The USD to NOK forecast in 2025 indicates a predominantly upward trend, despite minor fluctuations. Starting from June at 10.479, the rate is expected to progressively increase, reaching 10.925 by December - a cumulative rise of approximately 4.3%.

Monthly Forecast for 2025:

Month Minimum Rate Maximum Rate Percentage Change
August 202510.51910.5570.36 % ▲
September 202510.55910.6600.95 % ▲
October 202510.66110.7941.23 % ▲
November 202510.79910.8950.88 % ▲
December 202510.89810.9250.22 % ▲

USD to NOK Forecast for 2026

The USD NOK forecast for 2026 indicates consistent appreciation of the USD, with the exchange rate rising steadily from January’s minimum of 10.917 NOK to December’s peak of 11.587 NOK. Monthly percentage changes suggest a mostly upward trajectory, reflecting stable leverage opportunities. Investors should closely monitor monthly fluctuations of USD to NOK forecast, leveraging the consistent krone forecast of gradual weakening throughout this time period.

Month Minimum Rate Maximum Rate Percentage Change
January 202610.91710.9250.03 % ▲
February 202610.92510.9520.25 % ▲
March 202610.95411.0280.62 % ▲
April 202610.99411.0490.27 % ▲
May 202611.05611.1540.81 % ▲
June 202611.14111.2290.74 % ▲
July 202611.18011.242-0.44 % ▼
August 202611.18111.2200.34 % ▲
September 202611.22111.3200.88 % ▲
October 202611.32311.4541.14 % ▲
November 202611.45911.5570.85 % ▲
December 202611.56011.5870.22 % ▲

USD to NOK Forecast for 2027

The USD to NOK forecast for 2027 indicates the exchange rate will trend consistently upward, reaching a high-end rate of 12.249 NOK by December. Despite minor fluctuations mid-year, overall momentum is positive, with steady incremental increases each month.

Month Minimum Rate Maximum Rate Percentage Change
January 202711.57911.5860.01 % ▲
February 202711.58811.6130.22 % ▲
March 202711.61711.6900.58 % ▲
April 202711.65611.7100.24 % ▲
May 202711.71711.8160.79 % ▲
June 202711.80311.8890.68 % ▲
July 202711.84311.904-0.42 % ▼
August 202711.84311.8810.33 % ▲
September 202711.88111.9820.85 % ▲
October 202711.98612.1141.06 % ▲
November 202712.12112.2190.8 % ▲
December 202712.21912.2490.23 % ▲

USD to NOK Forecast for 2028

The USD to NOK forecast for 2028 highlights continued strength in the USD, reaching a maximum of 12.911 NOK by December. The krone forecast suggests ongoing depreciation, reinforcing the trend from current USD levels.

Month Minimum Rate Maximum Rate Percentage Change
January 202812.24112.2490.01 % ▲
February 202812.24912.2780.23 % ▲
March 202812.27912.3530.54 % ▲
April 202812.31912.3770.26 % ▲
May 202812.38412.4780.68 % ▲
June 202812.46412.5550.69 % ▲
July 202812.50512.566-0.42 % ▼
August 202812.50512.5430.3 % ▲
September 202812.54612.6470.8 % ▲
October 202812.64912.7811.03 % ▲
November 202812.78512.8820.75 % ▲
December 202812.88512.9110.19 % ▲

USD to NOK Forecast for 2029

The USD to NOK forecast for 2029 indicates ongoing appreciation of the dollar, climbing consistently above today's range, with the exchange rate projected to reach a high of 13.573 NOK by December. The krone forecast continues to show steady depreciation from the current rate.

Month Minimum Rate Maximum Rate Percentage Change
January 202912.90312.9110 % ▲
February 202912.91112.9380.2 % ▲
March 202912.94113.0150.52 % ▲
April 202912.98113.0380.24 % ▲
May 202913.04413.1400.67 % ▲
June 202913.12613.2160.64 % ▲
July 202913.16713.228-0.39 % ▼
August 202913.16613.2060.3 % ▲
September 202913.20713.3080.76 % ▲
October 202913.31113.4400.96 % ▲
November 202913.44713.5440.72 % ▲
December 202913.54613.5730.19 % ▲

USD to NOK Forecast for 2030

The USD to NOK forecast for early 2030 shows minimal upward movement, positioning the exchange rate between 13.565 and 13.718 NOK by May. Although the rate remains stable, investors should remain cautious as it concerns long-term forecast.

Month Minimum Rate Maximum Rate Percentage Change
January 203013.56513.5720.01 % ▲
February 203013.57413.6000.19 % ▲
March 203013.60313.6770.49 % ▲
April 203013.64313.6980.21 % ▲
May 203013.70313.7180.11 % ▲

CoinCodex comes with slightly more negative predictions for 2030.

Month Min. Price Max. Price Potential ROI
Jan 20309.579.953.91%
Feb 20309.599.924.17%
Mar 20309.6210.013.35%
Apr 20309.659.894.54%
May 20309.8310.013.34%
Jun 20309.659.963.80%
Jul 20309.7110.102.44%
Aug 203010.1010.380.18%
Sep 203010.1610.400.45%
Oct 203010.3310.541.73%
Nov 203010.3410.491.28%
Dec 20309.9910.491.26%

What Affects the NOK Price?

As the world's reserve currency, the US dollar serves as both a predictor of the international economy and a sanctuary for investors in volatile times. As investors strove to safeguard their capital from the uncertainties posed by the Russia-Ukraine war and the possibility of a worldwide recession, USD’s value spiked in 2022. An aggressive boost of the US interest rates to combat excessive inflation has also helped the currency.

Among the G10 currencies—the top ten most liquid and actively traded currencies on the foreign exchange markets—is the Norwegian Kroner. The Group of Ten (G10) countries that supply funding to the International Monetary Fund are no longer represented by the G10 currencies.

After Qatar and Russia, Norway is the world's third-largest supplier of natural gas. It also exports a sizable amount of oil. As a result, changes in the price of oil have an impact on the NOK price.

The US and Norwegian interest rates have an impact on the value of the Kroner as well. A currency with higher interest rates tends to attract investors seeking better returns on their investments with predictable payouts.

USD/NOK Technical Analysis

Technical analysis for the USDNOK exchange rate currently signals mixed trends. Hourly charts remain bullish, showing strong buy signals.

However, weekly and monthly charts show bearish signals, indicating possible downward pressure ahead. Investors should closely monitor critical support levels near 10.358 and resistance at 10.400.


How to Predict the Price of NOK

To create a USD to NOK forecast, take into account the following aspects:

  • Keep an eye on macroeconomic indicators (GDP, inflation percent, unemployment stats, and interest rates) in Norway.
  • Track the monetary policy of Norges Bank, the central bank of Norway, and how it changes the interest rates.
  • Norway is a major oil exporter, and therefore, asset prices can significantly impact the Norwegian economy and the Krone’s value.
  • Political stability in Norway defines investors’ confidence and, consequently, the value of the Norwegian currency.
  • Analyze price charts and technical indicators (moving averages, support and resistance levels, and more complex instruments) to identify patterns and trends in NOK price movements.
  • Pay attention to market sentiment and investor behavior towards the Norwegian Krone.
  • Consider the broader global economic state, including trade tensions, currency movements, and economic data releases from major economies.
  • Understand the correlation between NOK and other assets, such as commodities, currencies, and equities.
  • Analyzing historical data for seasonal trends in NOK's price movements will provide you with additional insights for prediction.

Conclusion: Is NOK a Good Investment?

Overall, the USD to NOK forecast suggests steady appreciation of the USD against the Norwegian Krone, projecting rates around 10.925 by the end of 2025 and rising above 13.7 by mid-2030. Historical volatility highlights NOK’s sensitivity to oil prices, global markets, and US monetary policy. The Norwegian krone (NOK) offers opportunities for investors trading on the forex market but comes with notable risks. Therefore, monitor oil prices, Norway’s economic performance, and global monetary policies before committing significant capital to forex pairs involving NOK.

FAQ

Is it profitable to invest in the USD/NOK forex pair?

Investing in the USD/NOK forex pair can be profitable for short-term traders capitalizing on NOK price movements and oil market trends, but long-term investments carry higher risks due to market volatility and geopolitical uncertainties.

Why has USD/NOK been dropping?

USD to NOK forecast was negative with the pair dropping primarily due to rising oil prices, improved investor sentiment toward the Krone, and shifts in expectations regarding US and Norwegian interest rates.

What will the USD/NOK FX rate be worth in five years (2030)?

In 2030, the USD to NOK forecast is to reach approximately 13.718, indicating sustained appreciation of USD driven by long-term market trends and Norway’s economic ties to energy markets.

Is USD/NOK a Buy, Sell or Hold?

SD to NOK forecast currently signals a mixed outlook; short-term indicators suggest bullish momentum, while longer-term charts show bearish signals. Investors should carefully monitor support and resistance levels, maintaining a cautious, neutral stance at this time.

When is the best time to trade USD/NOK?

The best time to trade USD/NOK is during peak market liquidity, typically during overlapping European and U.S. trading hours, when volatility and volume increase, providing clearer price action for traders.

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